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Sunday, December 6, 2020

Howard Marks: Prospective Returns Are Low on Everything.’ Howard Marks Outlines Investment Opportunities, Risks

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Barron’s: What’s the biggest question we’ll face when the Covid-19 pandemic winds down?

Howard Marks: The rate at which we’ll return—and the extent to which we’ll return—to our prior behavior. My guess is we’ll go a good bit of the way back to what used to be business, or life, as usual. For the most part, life won’t be fundamentally changed. The things that you or I now would consider out of the question, like going to the movies, a sporting event, or a party, will become commonplace again once the disease is under control.

You’re not a stock picker, but do parts of the stock market look appealing?

On the other hand, when you look at the nontech companies, there are a lot of areas where business models are severely challenged by the pandemic and other trends. If you can find among those companies some where the reality isn’t going to be as bad as the expectation, then you can make money in those holdings. It is all a matter of looking for situations where the merits are underestimated by investors.

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